Will the US issue a Level 4 travel advisory for Taiwan?
Markets
Before Jan 1, 2027
- Yes3%
- No98%
Volume $211.8K · Liquidity $118.1K
Before Jan 1, 2028
- Yes18%
- No82%
Volume $44.7K · Liquidity $18K
Before Jan 1, 2030
- Yes41%
- No59%
Volume $23.4K · Liquidity $8.4K
Before Jan 1, 2029
- Yes30%
- No70%
Volume $23.4K · Liquidity $7.2K
Resolution rules
If the U.S. State Department issues, updates, or reaffirms a Level 4 travel advisory for Taiwan after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
How to read these odds
Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.
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