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What will the tariff rate on Brazilian imports be on Jan 1, 2027?

Markets

  • 30% or above

    • Yes22%
    • No78%

    Volume $65.5 · Liquidity $65.5

  • 10% or above

    • Yes78%
    • No22%

    Volume $2.2 · Liquidity $1

  • 20% or above

    • Yes42%
    • No58%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • 40% or above

    • Yes14%
    • No86%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • 50% or above

    • Yes7%
    • No93%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

Resolution rules

If the general import tariff rate on imports from Brazil into the United States on Jan 1, 2027 is at least 10%, then the market resolves to Yes.

How to read these odds

Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.

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