What will the tariff rate on Mexican imports be on Jan 1, 2027?
Markets
20% or above
- Yes35%
- No65%
Volume $30.8 · Liquidity $30.8
30% or above
- Yes15%
- No85%
Volume $16.9 · Liquidity $16.9
10% or above
- Yes77%
- No23%
Volume $2.2 · Liquidity $1
Resolution rules
If the general import tariff rate on imports from Mexico into the United States on Jan 1, 2027 is at least 10%, then the market resolves to Yes.
How to read these odds
Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.
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