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Which sectors will Trump tariff in 2026?

Markets

  • Wind turbines

    • Yes17%
    • No83%

    Volume $13K · Liquidity $2.8K

  • Canadian aircraft

    • Yes22%
    • No78%

    Volume $8.9K · Liquidity $1.2K

  • Critical minerals

    • Yes20%
    • No80%

    Volume $7.9K · Liquidity $3K

  • Foreign-made films

    • Yes9%
    • No91%

    Volume $310.3 · Liquidity $79.4

Resolution rules

If the President of the United States has taken any executive action in 2026 imposing tariffs specifically on Canadian aircraft, where the executive action must explicitly reference Canadian aircraft in its title, operative text, or fact sheet (not merely in an attached tariff schedule annex) and set an effective date, then the market resolves to Yes.

How to read these odds

Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.

Probability calculators · Glossary · Free courses

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