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Which countries will have their US Travel Advisory downgraded in 2026?

Markets

  • Iran

    • Yes8%
    • No92%

    Volume $32.6K · Liquidity $9.6K

  • Syria

    • Yes7%
    • No93%

    Volume $8.5K · Liquidity $4.6K

  • Lebanon

    • Yes8%
    • No92%

    Volume $8.2K · Liquidity $3.4K

  • Somalia

    • Yes3%
    • No97%

    Volume $7.8K · Liquidity $3K

  • Ukraine

    • Yes6%
    • No94%

    Volume $7K · Liquidity $2.6K

  • Russia

    • Yes5%
    • No96%

    Volume $3.4K · Liquidity $2.4K

  • Yemen

    • Yes10%
    • No90%

    Volume $3.1K · Liquidity $2.7K

  • Iraq

    • Yes2%
    • No99%

    Volume $2.1K · Liquidity $1.3K

  • Haiti

    • Yes7%
    • No94%

    Volume $1.9K · Liquidity $1.2K

  • Afghanistan

    • Yes1%
    • No99%

    Volume $1.8K · Liquidity $655

  • Democratic Republic of the Congo

    • Yes12%
    • No88%

    Volume $1.1K · Liquidity $397.3

  • Uganda

    • Yes32%
    • No68%

    Volume $933.6 · Liquidity $213

  • South Sudan

    • Yes5%
    • No95%

    Volume $533 · Liquidity $527.3

  • Gaza

    • Yes1%
    • No99%

    Volume $418.9 · Liquidity $246.4

  • North Korea

    • Yes1%
    • No99%

    Volume $323.9 · Liquidity $143.1

  • Libya

    • Yes1%
    • No99%

    Volume $279.1 · Liquidity $133.5

  • Burma (Myanmar)

    • Yes7%
    • No93%

    Volume $268.6 · Liquidity $177.8

  • Sudan

    • Yes1%
    • No99%

    Volume $264.9 · Liquidity $206.6

Resolution rules

If the U.S. State Department issues, updates, or reaffirms a level 3 or lower travel advisory for Afghanistan after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

How to read these odds

Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.

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