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How many Cabinet members will Trump say he fired in 2026?

Markets

  • 0

    • Yes88%
    • No12%

    Volume $66K · Liquidity $26.9K

  • 2

    • Yes4%
    • No97%

    Volume $23.1K · Liquidity $8.4K

  • 1

    • Yes4%
    • No96%

    Volume $18.6K · Liquidity $8.4K

  • 3

    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $14.1K · Liquidity $6.8K

  • 4

    • Yes4%
    • No96%

    Volume $7.8K · Liquidity $6.4K

  • 5

    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $6.2K · Liquidity $5K

Resolution rules

If President Trump has announced that he asked for the resignation of, or fired, exactly 0 non-acting Cabinet members before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

How to read these odds

Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.

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