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Who will Trump pardon in 2026?

Markets

  • Derek Chauvin

    • Yes2%
    • No99%

    Volume $93.5K · Liquidity $59.6K

  • Ghislaine Maxwell

    • Yes4%
    • No96%

    Volume $80.5K · Liquidity $28.8K

  • Sam Bankman-Fried

    • Yes5%
    • No95%

    Volume $75.7K · Liquidity $25.7K

  • Sean Combs

    • Yes9%
    • No91%

    Volume $66.9K · Liquidity $24K

  • John Kiriakou

    • Yes14%
    • No86%

    Volume $30.4K · Liquidity $13.3K

  • Martin Shkreli

    • Yes10%
    • No91%

    Volume $24.8K · Liquidity $11K

  • Michael Cohen

    • Yes33%
    • No67%

    Volume $20.9K · Liquidity $7.6K

  • Nicolás Maduro

    • Yes3%
    • No97%

    Volume $19.2K · Liquidity $7.8K

  • Donald Trump

    • Yes2%
    • No98%

    Volume $18.6K · Liquidity $9.8K

  • Elizabeth Holmes

    • Yes6%
    • No94%

    Volume $14.8K · Liquidity $9.8K

  • Charlie Javice

    • Yes2%
    • No98%

    Volume $11.4K · Liquidity $7.3K

  • Kenneth Petty

    • Yes9%
    • No91%

    Volume $9.9K · Liquidity $5.4K

  • Steve Bannon

    • Yes7%
    • No93%

    Volume $9.8K · Liquidity $3.5K

  • Edward Snowden

    • Yes5%
    • No95%

    Volume $8.6K · Liquidity $4.2K

  • Nicole Daedone

    • Yes15%
    • No85%

    Volume $8.3K · Liquidity $6.1K

  • Jared Kushner

    • Yes10%
    • No90%

    Volume $7.8K · Liquidity $3K

  • Bill Hwang

    • Yes8%
    • No92%

    Volume $7K · Liquidity $6.5K

  • Rachel Cherwitz

    • Yes11%
    • No89%

    Volume $6.8K · Liquidity $4.2K

  • Keonne Rodriguez

    • Yes8%
    • No92%

    Volume $6.7K · Liquidity $2.3K

  • Jho Low

    • Yes6%
    • No94%

    Volume $6.4K · Liquidity $4.4K

  • Torence Hatch

    • Yes10%
    • No90%

    Volume $6.4K · Liquidity $2.7K

  • Tim Leissner

    • Yes12%
    • No88%

    Volume $5.8K · Liquidity $3.6K

  • Julian Assange

    • Yes5%
    • No95%

    Volume $5.2K · Liquidity $2.9K

  • Roger Ver

    • Yes7%
    • No93%

    Volume $4.2K · Liquidity $2.3K

  • Bob Menendez

    • Yes9%
    • No91%

    Volume $4.1K · Liquidity $3.6K

  • Eric Adams

    • Yes2%
    • No98%

    Volume $3.9K · Liquidity $2.3K

  • Larry Householder

    • Yes14%
    • No86%

    Volume $3.2K · Liquidity $1.2K

  • Leonard Glenn Francis

    • Yes13%
    • No87%

    Volume $2.7K · Liquidity $2.5K

  • Joseph Maldonado

    • Yes6%
    • No94%

    Volume $2.1K · Liquidity $1.6K

  • Robin Smith

    • Yes12%
    • No88%

    Volume $494.5 · Liquidity $9.8

  • Braden John Karony

    • Yes10%
    • No90%

    Volume $359 · Liquidity $355

  • Aimee Bock

    • Yes8%
    • No93%

    Volume $129.3 · Liquidity $27.3

  • Matt Borges

    • Yes11%
    • No89%

    Volume $29 · Liquidity $25

  • Tal Alexander

    • Yes11%
    • No89%

    Volume $18.6 · Liquidity $16.6

  • Kimberly Guilfoyle

    • Yes10%
    • No90%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Josh Wander

    • Yes11%
    • No90%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

Resolution rules

If Donald Trump has been given a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve during Trump's second term and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

How to read these odds

Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.

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