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When will Trump raise tariffs on Canada?

Markets

  • Before Oct 1, 2026

    Closed
    • Yes2%
    • No98%

    Volume $4.2K · Liquidity $3.5K

  • Before Nov 1, 2026

    • Yes31%
    • No69%

    Volume $2.8K · Liquidity $2.2K

  • Before Dec 1, 2026

    • Yes57%
    • No43%

    Volume $516 · Liquidity $316

  • Before Jan 1, 2027

    • Yes70%
    • No30%

    Volume $416 · Liquidity $416

  • Before Apr 1, 2027

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

Resolution rules

If Donald Trump has taken any presidential action imposing a new tariff or increasing an existing tariff on imports from Canada, with a specified effective date, through a new policy decision officially announced by Donald Trump after Issuance and before Oct 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

How to read these odds

Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.

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