Will any independent or 3rd party candidate win a House or Senate race in 2026?
Markets
Will any independent or third-party candidate win an election in the U.S. House or Senate in 2026?
- Yes46%
- No54%
Volume $9K · Liquidity $2.1K
Resolution rules
If any independent or third-party candidate wins an election for the U.S. House of Representatives or the U.S. Senate in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
How to read these odds
Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.
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