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Idaho Senate margin of victory

Markets

  • Risch, 21+ pts

    • Yes22%
    • No78%

    Volume $3K · Liquidity $1.3K

  • Risch, 23+ pts

    • Yes18%
    • No82%

    Volume $1.9K · Liquidity $582

  • Risch, 31+ pts

    • Yes11%
    • No89%

    Volume $1.4K · Liquidity $1.4K

  • Risch, 29+ pts

    • Yes8%
    • No92%

    Volume $1.3K · Liquidity $700

  • Risch, 19+ pts

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $1.2K · Liquidity $656.6

  • Risch, 15+ pts

    • Yes62%
    • No38%

    Volume $964 · Liquidity $869

  • Risch, 25+ pts

    • Yes15%
    • No85%

    Volume $960 · Liquidity $500

  • Risch, 27+ pts

    • Yes10%
    • No90%

    Volume $868.2 · Liquidity $820

  • Risch, 33+ pts

    • Yes5%
    • No95%

    Volume $757 · Liquidity $722

  • Risch, 9+ pts

    • Yes82%
    • No18%

    Volume $674.6 · Liquidity $457.6

  • Risch, 11+ pts

    • Yes70%
    • No30%

    Volume $666 · Liquidity $255

  • Risch, 13+ pts

    • Yes68%
    • No32%

    Volume $535 · Liquidity $450

  • Risch, 17+ pts

    • Yes40%
    • No60%

    Volume $434.7 · Liquidity $419.7

  • Risch, 5+ pts

    • Yes90%
    • No10%

    Volume $205 · Liquidity $205

  • Risch, 37+ pts

    • Yes2%
    • No98%

    Volume $205 · Liquidity $200

  • Risch, 7+ pts

    • Yes79%
    • No21%

    Volume $39 · Liquidity $39

  • Risch, 35+ pts

    • Yes19%
    • No81%

    Volume $39 · Liquidity $29

  • Risch, 39+ pts

    • Yes5%
    • No95%

    Volume $27 · Liquidity $21

  • Risch, 3+ pts

    • Yes92%
    • No9%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

Resolution rules

If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Idaho by 3 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.

How to read these odds

Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.

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