Waitaki Ōamaru Ward by-election winner?
Markets
Keith Marshall
- Yes70%
- No30%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Richard Vinbrux
- Yes29%
- No71%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Resolution rules
If Keith Marshall wins the 2026 Waitaki District Council Ōamaru Ward by-election, then the market resolves to Yes.
How to read these odds
Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.
More Politics markets
Ontario Liberal Party leadership election winner?
Lee Fairclough: 45%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 21, 2027
Will anyone win outright in the Cape Verde presidential election?
Yes: 69%
24h vol $200 · Ends Nov 15, 2027
Cape Verde presidential election winner?
PAICV: 81%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 15, 2027
New Zealand Prime Minister after the election?
Christopher Luxon: 58%
24h vol $342 · Ends Nov 7, 2027
Will Kamala Harris run for California Governor?
No: 98%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 4, 2027
Michigan Senate margin of victory
El-Sayed, 1+ pts: 66%
24h vol $35.1K · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Florida Senate margin of victory
Moody, 2+ pts: 91%
24h vol $31.8K · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Georgia Senate margin of victory
Ossoff, 2+ pts: 93%
24h vol $20.8K · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Mississippi Senate margin of victory
Hyde-Smith, 1+ pts: 83%
24h vol $17.7K · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Minnesota Senate margin of victory
Flanagan, 1+ pts: 82%
24h vol $12.3K · Ends Nov 3, 2027
North Carolina Senate margin of victory
Cooper, 1+ pts: 95%
24h vol $12K · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Ohio Governor margin of victory
Acton, 1+ pts: 77%
24h vol $8.9K · Ends Nov 3, 2027