2028 popular vote margin of victory?
Markets
Democratic by 8.0% to 8.99%
- Yes11%
- No89%
Volume $24.7K · Liquidity $18.3K
Democratic by 7.0% to 7.99%
- Yes13%
- No87%
Volume $16.4K · Liquidity $14.2K
Democratic by 9.0% or more
- Yes23%
- No77%
Volume $16.2K · Liquidity $12.6K
Democratic by 6.0% to 6.99%
- Yes7%
- No93%
Volume $11.4K · Liquidity $9.1K
Democratic by 5.0% to 5.99%
- Yes7%
- No93%
Volume $10.6K · Liquidity $5.5K
Republican by 6.0% to 6.99%
- Yes2%
- No98%
Volume $9.4K · Liquidity $2.7K
Democratic by 1.0% to 1.99%
- Yes4%
- No96%
Volume $9.2K · Liquidity $4.7K
Republican by 0.01% to 0.99%
- Yes2%
- No98%
Volume $8.3K · Liquidity $5.5K
Democratic by 0.01% to 0.99%
- Yes3%
- No97%
Volume $7.9K · Liquidity $3.9K
Republican by 1.0% to 1.99%
- Yes2%
- No98%
Volume $7K · Liquidity $4.4K
Democratic by 3.0% to 3.99%
- Yes6%
- No94%
Volume $5.9K · Liquidity $3.6K
Republican by 7.0% to 7.99%
- Yes2%
- No98%
Volume $5.6K · Liquidity $3.9K
Democratic by 4.0% to 4.99%
- Yes6%
- No94%
Volume $5.2K · Liquidity $3.6K
Republican by 4.0% to 4.99%
- Yes2%
- No98%
Volume $5K · Liquidity $3.1K
Democratic by 2.0% to 2.99%
- Yes7%
- No93%
Volume $4.7K · Liquidity $3.4K
Republican by 3.0% to 3.99%
- Yes2%
- No98%
Volume $4.7K · Liquidity $2.4K
Republican by 2.0% to 2.99%
- Yes2%
- No98%
Volume $4.5K · Liquidity $2.3K
Republican by 5.0% to 5.99%
- Yes1%
- No99%
Volume $4.1K · Liquidity $3K
Republican by 8.0% to 8.99%
- Yes1%
- No99%
Volume $4.1K · Liquidity $2.3K
Republican by 9.0% or more
- Yes2%
- No98%
Volume $3.8K · Liquidity $2.6K
Resolution rules
If a member of the Democratic Party wins the popular vote in 2028 by a margin of between 9.00-100.00%, then the market resolves to Yes.
How to read these odds
Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.
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