Politics Prediction Markets
Live Kalshi event contracts on elections, Congress, policy and world leaders. Prices show the crowd's odds, not certainties.
Data from Kalshi, updated ….
Informational only. Not financial or betting advice. Probabilities reflect market prices, not certainties.
Washington 04 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 150K: 96%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Alabama's 7th District margin of victory
Sewell, 12+ pts: 96%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Will Congressional salaries increase?
Before Jan 1, 2030: 46%
24h vol $0 · Ends Jan 1, 2030
Will SCOTUS recognize a right to possess AR-15-style rifles?
Yes: 84%
24h vol $0 · Ends Jan 1, 2030
Alabama's 6th District margin of victory
Palmer, 21+ pts: 85%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Alabama's 5th District margin of victory
Strong, 13+ pts: 90%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
California 36 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 220K: 94%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Alabama's 3rd District margin of victory
Rogers, 27+ pts: 90%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Alabama's 2nd District margin of victory
Figures, 2+ pts: 18%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Valladolid municipal election winner?
PP: 67%
24h vol $0 · Ends May 22, 2028
PP and Vox majority in the Valencian Corts?
Yes: 70%
24h vol $0 · Ends May 22, 2028
Seville municipal election winner?
PP: 79%
24h vol $0 · Ends May 22, 2028
Minnesota Governor General Election: voter turnout
Above 2M: 89%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Alabama's 1st District margin of victory
Carl, 18+ pts: 88%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Will a ballot initiative on California secession qualify for a vote before 2030?
No: 78%
24h vol $0 · Ends Jan 1, 2030
People's Party majority in the City Council of Madrid?
Yes: 62%
24h vol $0 · Ends May 22, 2028
Madrid municipal election winner?
PP: 97%
24h vol $0 · Ends May 22, 2028
PSOE majority in the Cortes of Castilla-La Mancha?
No: 55%
24h vol $0 · Ends May 22, 2028
Canary Islands regional election winner?
PSOE: 55%
24h vol $0 · Ends May 22, 2028
California 20 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 150K: 95%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Will Honolulu Charter Question 4 pass?
Yes: 82%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Will UC reinstate its SAT/ACT requirement before 2028?
Yes: 76%
24h vol $0 · Ends Jan 1, 2028
Asturias regional election winner?
PP: 49%
24h vol $0 · Ends May 22, 2028
Will Chile and Bolivia restore ambassador-level relations?
Before 2028: 26%
24h vol $0 · Ends Jan 1, 2028
When will Kari Lake be confirmed as Ambassador to Jamaica?
Before Apr 1, 2027: 21%
24h vol $0 · Ends Apr 1, 2027
Minnesota 06 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 250K: 96%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Minnesota 02 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 250K: 96%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Next Kathmandu mayoral election winner?
RSP: 40%
24h vol $0 · Ends May 12, 2028
Micronesian presidential election winner?
Wesley Simina: 30%
24h vol $0 · Ends Mar 2, 2028
Dallas County, Texas: James Talarico vote percent
At least 64%: 96%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Tucumán Governor winner?
PJ: 74%
24h vol $0 · Ends May 9, 2028
Tirana mayoral election winner?
Socialist Party: 55%
24h vol $0 · Ends May 9, 2028
Andorran parliamentary election winner?
Concòrdia: 50%
24h vol $0 · Ends May 9, 2028
Madrid regional election: 2nd place
PSOE: 69%
24h vol $0 · Ends May 22, 2028
Will Nashville commercial property tax relief become law?
Yes: 68%
24h vol $0 · Ends Jun 1, 2027
New Jersey 01 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 140K: 97%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Middlesbrough mayoral election winner?
Reform UK: 37%
24h vol $0 · Ends May 6, 2028
Liverpool City Council election winner?
Labour Party: 74%
24h vol $0 · Ends May 5, 2028
Collin County, Texas: James Talarico vote percent
At least 46%: 96%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
English Local Elections winner?
Reform UK: 50%
24h vol $0 · Ends May 6, 2028
City of Edinburgh Council election winner?
SNP: 33%
24h vol $0 · Ends May 6, 2028
Bedford mayoral election winner?
Liberal Democrats: 34%
24h vol $0 · Ends May 5, 2028
Brantford-Brant South by-election winner?
Conservative: 62%
24h vol $0 · Ends May 2, 2028
California's 44th District margin of victory
Barragán, 40+ pts: 93%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Cuyahoga County, Ohio: Sherrod Brown vote percent
At least 66%: 97%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Wayne County, Michigan: Abdul El-Sayed vote percent
At least 62%: 89%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Washtenaw County, Michigan: Abdul El-Sayed vote percent
At least 78%: 96%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
California 50 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 180K: 95%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027