Politics Prediction Markets
Live Kalshi event contracts on elections, Congress, policy and world leaders. Prices show the crowd's odds, not certainties.
Data from Kalshi, updated ….
Informational only. Not financial or betting advice. Probabilities reflect market prices, not certainties.
Texas 10 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 290K: 99%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Texas 09 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 95K: 96%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Texas 07 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 140K: 95%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Texas 06 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 190K: 94%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Texas 03 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 220K: 95%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
California 33 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 129K: 93%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Texas 02 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 170K: 97%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
California 32 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 160K: 97%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
California 31 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 140K: 96%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
California 30 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 160K: 96%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
California 28 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 160K: 95%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Tennessee Governor General Election: voter turnout
Above 1.6M: 92%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Tennessee 09 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 143K: 96%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
California's 40th District margin of victory
Ken Calvert, 1+ pts: 52%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Will the U.S. take at least 1% stakes in both OpenAI and Anthropic?
Before Jan 20, 2029: 47%
24h vol $0 · Ends Jan 20, 2029
Which countries will vote to leave the EU before 2030?
Hungary: 8%
24h vol $0 · Ends Jan 1, 2030
Tennessee 05 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 140K: 97%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Tennessee 04 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 150K: 91%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Who will be the next new Speaker of the House?
Hakeem Jeffries: 88%
24h vol $0 · Ends Jan 1, 2031
New Jersey's 2nd District margin of victory
No: 79%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
North Carolina 06 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 180K: 96%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
California 27 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 130K: 97%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
California 25 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 140K: 95%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
California 24 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 170K: 96%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Tennessee 01 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 150K: 96%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
North Carolina 05 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 200K: 96%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
North Carolina 04 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 240K: 88%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
California 23 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 140K: 95%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
California 20 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 150K: 95%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
California 22 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 144K: 96%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
North Carolina 03 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 150K: 96%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
North Carolina 01 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 230K: 95%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Montana Senate General Election: voter turnout
Above 380K: 92%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
California 19 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 190K: 97%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
California 18 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 103K: 97%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
California 17 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 143K: 91%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
California 14 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 80K: 97%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Arizona 09 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 220K: 94%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Arizona 03 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 80K: 92%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Oregon Governor General Election: voter turnout
Above 1.6M: 89%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Oregon 06 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 220K: 96%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Oklahoma Senate General Election: voter turnout
Above 950K: 94%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Oklahoma Governor General Election: voter turnout
Above 970K: 96%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Oklahoma 01 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 190K: 94%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Arizona 02 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 220K: 97%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Ohio 12 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 250K: 85%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Missouri 04 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 140K: 97%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Missouri 03 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 190K: 96%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027