Politics Prediction Markets
Live Kalshi event contracts on elections, Congress, policy and world leaders. Prices show the crowd's odds, not certainties.
Data from Kalshi, updated ….
Informational only. Not financial or betting advice. Probabilities reflect market prices, not certainties.
Which ballot measures will pass in Missouri?
Amendment 6: 93%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 2, 2027
Wyoming Governor General Election: voter turnout
Above 158K: 92%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Lagos State Governor winner?
APC: 85%
24h vol $0 · Ends Feb 6, 2028
Oklahoma 03 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 150K: 96%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Katsina State Governor winner?
APC: 79%
24h vol $0 · Ends Feb 6, 2028
Kano State Governor winner?
APC: 65%
24h vol $0 · Ends Feb 6, 2028
Oklahoma 02 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 180K: 96%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Ohio 15 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 230K: 94%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Kaduna State Governor winner?
APC: 73%
24h vol $0 · Ends Feb 6, 2028
Gombe State Governor winner?
APC: 75%
24h vol $0 · Ends Feb 6, 2028
Florida Senate margin of victory
No: 92%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Ohio 09 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 220K: 94%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Will Trump add himself to Mt. Rushmore?
No: 90%
24h vol $0 · Ends Jan 21, 2029
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez run for Senate in 2028?
Before Apr 1, 2028: 55%
24h vol $0 · Ends Apr 1, 2028
Bauchi State Governor winner?
APC: 40%
24h vol $0 · Ends Feb 6, 2028
Akwa Ibom State Governor winner?
APC: 86%
24h vol $0 · Ends Feb 6, 2028
California 42 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 126K: 97%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Ohio 08 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 240K: 96%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Ohio 06 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 230K: 95%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Who will be the third-highest ActBlue fundraiser on Oct 30, 2026?
Amy Acton: 55%
24h vol $0 · Ends Oct 30, 2026
Will a new Constitutional Amendment be added during Trump's term?
No: 92%
24h vol $0 · Ends Jan 20, 2029
Missouri governor winner? (2028)
Republican: 97%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 7, 2029
Upper Austria state election winner?
FPÖ: 55%
24h vol $0 · Ends Sep 25, 2028
Will Jim Justice announce a West Virginia governor run?
Before Jan 29, 2028: 72%
24h vol $0 · Ends Jan 29, 2028
Ohio 05 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 220K: 94%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Ohio 04 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 190K: 97%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Ohio 03 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 230K: 91%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Next Moldovan presidential election winner?
Alexandr Stoianoglo: 19%
24h vol $0 · Ends Oct 31, 2029
Georgian parliamentary election winner?
Georgian Dream – Democratic Georgia: 79%
24h vol $0 · Ends Oct 31, 2029
West Virginia 02 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 190K: 96%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Will SCOTUS rule for DHS on third-country deportations?
Yes: 62%
24h vol $0 · Ends Aug 1, 2028
Ohio 02 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 210K: 94%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
New York 25 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 170K: 97%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
New York 24 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 200K: 94%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Florida's 23rd District margin of victory
No: 94%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
New York 22 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 190K: 93%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
New York 21 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 200K: 94%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Nevada 01 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 180K: 94%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Which G7 leader will leave office next?
Emmanuel Macron: 72%
24h vol $0 · Ends Jan 1, 2045
New York 20 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 210K: 91%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
New York 19 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 210K: 92%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
New York 18 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 190K: 95%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Turkish presidential election winner?
Recep Tayyip Erdoğan: 56%
24h vol $0 · Ends May 7, 2030
North Rhine-Westphalia state election winner?
CDU: 63%
24h vol $0 · Ends Apr 25, 2028
New York 17 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 220K: 97%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Oregon 02 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 240K: 95%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
New York 16 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 170K: 92%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Will any U.S. state experience a population decrease of at least 10% between 2025 and 2035?
No: 82%
24h vol $0 · Ends Dec 30, 2036