Politics Prediction Markets
Live Kalshi event contracts on elections, Congress, policy and world leaders. Prices show the crowd's odds, not certainties.
Data from Kalshi, updated ….
Informational only. Not financial or betting advice. Probabilities reflect market prices, not certainties.
Tennessee 04 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 150K: 91%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Oregon Governor General Election: voter turnout
Above 1.6M: 89%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Massachusetts's 1st District margin of victory
Neal, 12+ pts: 96%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Oklahoma Senate General Election: voter turnout
Above 950K: 94%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Will SCOTUS let people seek green cards after their asylum is terminated?
No: 73%
24h vol $0 · Ends Aug 1, 2028
Oklahoma 01 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 190K: 94%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
How many N.Y.C. Groceries stores will open before 2029?
At least 1: 92%
24h vol $0 · Ends Jan 1, 2029
What countries will hold referenda on leaving the EU?
Hungary: 12%
24h vol $0 · Ends Jan 1, 2030
Arizona 02 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 220K: 97%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Ohio 12 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 250K: 85%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Tennessee 05 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 140K: 97%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Missouri 03 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 190K: 96%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Missouri 01 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 140K: 96%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Michigan Governor General Election: voter turnout
Above 3.80M: 95%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
North Carolina 06 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 180K: 96%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
New Jersey's 2nd District margin of victory
No: 79%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
NYC teachers' aides paid the Respect Check before Feb 2027?
No: 80%
24h vol $0 · Ends Feb 1, 2027
Alabama 07 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 170K: 93%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Massachusetts's 2nd District margin of victory
McGovern, 20+ pts: 99%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Alabama 01 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 190K: 89%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Will the U.S. and Iran hold a China-mediated meeting before Feb 1, 2027?
No: 86%
24h vol $0 · Ends Feb 1, 2027
West Virginia's 2nd District margin of victory
Moore, 21+ pts: 92%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
California 24 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 170K: 96%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
New York 11 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 130K: 94%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
California 25 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 140K: 95%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
New York 09 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 120K: 91%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
New York 06 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 105K: 88%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
New York 05 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 115K: 92%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Wisconsin's 3rd District margin of victory
Van Orden, 1+ pts: 28%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Wisconsin's 3rd District margin of victory
Cooke, 1+ pts: 78%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Will Trump add a 51st state to the US?
No: 90%
24h vol $0 · Ends Jan 20, 2029
Massachusetts's 3rd District margin of victory
Trahan, 19+ pts: 96%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Will SCOTUS bar unpled affirmative defenses at summary judgment?
Yes: 61%
24h vol $0 · Ends Aug 1, 2028
California 27 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 130K: 97%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
California's 40th District margin of victory
Ken Calvert, 1+ pts: 52%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Tennessee 09 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 143K: 96%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Tennessee Governor General Election: voter turnout
Above 1.6M: 92%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Maryland Governor General Election: voter turnout
Above 1.8M: 94%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Massachusetts's 4th District margin of victory
Auchincloss, 17+ pts: 96%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Texas 02 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 170K: 97%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Mark Carney announces departure as Prime Minister of Canada?
Before Jul 1, 2029: 40%
24h vol $0 · Ends Jul 1, 2029
Texas's 17th District margin of victory
Sessions, 14+ pts: 93%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Texas 03 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 220K: 95%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Minnesota 08 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 260K: 96%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Texas 06 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 190K: 94%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Minnesota 05 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 210K: 96%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Who will be a part of the next government of Saxony-Anhalt?
AfD: 58%
24h vol $0 · Ends Jan 15, 2027
Massachusetts's 5th District margin of victory
Clark, 54+ pts: 99%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027