Will any U.S. state experience a population decrease of at least 10% between 2025 and 2035?
Markets
Will any U.S. state experience a population decrease of at least 10% between 2025 and 2035?
- Yes18%
- No82%
Volume $3.5K · Liquidity $2K
Resolution rules
If any U.S. state experiences a population decrease of at least 10% between 2025 and 2035, then the market resolves to Yes.
How to read these odds
Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.
More Politics markets
Which of these African leaders will leave office next?
Bola Tinubu: 20%
24h vol $60 · Ends Jan 1, 2035
Will Social Security’s retirement trust fund be depleted?
No: 80%
24h vol $0 · Ends Jan 1, 2033
Kevin Warsh out as Fed chair?
Before Jan 1, 2031: 75%
24h vol $0 · Ends Jan 1, 2031
Will South Korean President Lee Jae-myung serve their full term?
No: 56%
24h vol $0 · Ends Jul 1, 2030
Who will be the next Secretary of the Army?
Adam Telle: 41%
24h vol $41 · Ends Jan 8, 2030
Courts consider Amazon a monopoly?
No: 54%
24h vol $0 · Ends Jan 1, 2030
Will CK Hutchison win its Panama ports arbitration?
No: 60%
24h vol $0 · Ends Jan 1, 2030
Will SCOTUS recognize a right to possess AR-15-style rifles?
Yes: 84%
24h vol $0 · Ends Jan 1, 2030
Will the US issue a Level 4 travel advisory for Taiwan?
Before Jan 1, 2030: 41%
24h vol $323.8 · Ends Jan 1, 2030
AfD in a German state government?
Before Jan 1, 2030: 95%
24h vol $40 · Ends Jan 1, 2030
Will Zohran Mamdani announce his departure as Mayor of New York City?
Before Jan 1, 2030: 32%
24h vol $24.9 · Ends Jan 1, 2030
Will China obtain an EUV machine?
Before Jan 1, 2030: 65%
24h vol $0 · Ends Jan 1, 2030