Politics Prediction Markets
Live Kalshi event contracts on elections, Congress, policy and world leaders. Prices show the crowd's odds, not certainties.
Data from Kalshi, updated ….
Informational only. Not financial or betting advice. Probabilities reflect market prices, not certainties.
Mississippi's 1st District margin of victory
Kelly, 18+ pts: 90%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Louisiana: Which House races will be won outright?
LA-01: 97%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Will Alabama cut its state grocery tax again?
Yes: 77%
24h vol $0 · Ends Jul 1, 2027
Will James Fishback announce a run for public office?
Before Jul 1, 2027: 41%
24h vol $0 · Ends Jul 1, 2027
New York 02 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 180K: 95%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Minnesota's 8th District margin of victory
No: 86%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Missouri 05 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 150K: 95%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Missouri 02 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 220K: 96%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Maryland's 6th District margin of victory
Delaney, 3+ pts: 91%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Will the Bay Area Regional Transit Measure pass?
Yes: 98%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Minnesota 04 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 250K: 89%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Minnesota 03 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 230K: 96%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Massachusetts's 8th District margin of victory
Lynch, 28+ pts: 95%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Allegheny County, Pennsylvania: Josh Shapiro vote percent
At least 64%: 97%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Maryland 04 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 130K: 96%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Massachusetts Governor General Election: voter turnout
Above 2M: 92%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Massachusetts 09 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 270K: 94%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Illinois 07 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 140K: 96%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Indiana's 9th District margin of victory
Houchin, 12+ pts: 91%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Will West Virginia require voters to be U.S. and West Virginia citizens?
Yes: 97%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 2, 2027
Which ballot measures will pass in Wisconsin?
Prohibit Government Closure of Places of Worship During Emergencies Amendment: 86%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 2, 2027
Which ballot measures will pass in Vermont?
Proposal 3: 93%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 2, 2027
Which ballot measures will pass in Utah?
Constitutional Amendment Publication: 74%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 2, 2027
Which ballot measures will pass in Tennessee?
Amendment 3: 85%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 2, 2027
Gangneung National Assembly by-election winner?
People Power Party: 52%
24h vol $0 · Ends Apr 7, 2028
Which ballot measures will pass in Rhode Island?
Economic & Infrastructure Bond: 92%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 2, 2027
Which ballot measures will pass in Oklahoma?
State Question 847: 54%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 2, 2027
Arkansas 02 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 220K: 90%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Alabama 06 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 180K: 93%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Alabama 04 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 180K: 87%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Alabama 03 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 170K: 92%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Alabama 02 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 197K: 87%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Will Ohio vote to constitutionalize in-person voter ID?
Yes: 93%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 2, 2027
Will Nevada vote to require photo ID and mail-voter verification?
Yes: 95%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 2, 2027
Which ballot measures will pass in New Mexico?
Senior Citizen Facilities Bond: 94%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 2, 2027
Will New Hampshire vote to eliminate the register of probate office?
No: 66%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 2, 2027
Will the federal minimum wage be raised?
Before 2030: 31%
24h vol $0 · Ends Jan 1, 2030
Illinois's 11th District margin of victory
Foster, 8+ pts: 91%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Which ballot measures will pass in Indiana?
Public Question 1: 90%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 2, 2027
Will Sanae Takaichi be re-elected LDP president in 2027?
Yes: 73%
24h vol $0 · Ends Sep 29, 2028
Who will win the next Manitoba PC leadership election?
Janice Lukes: 10%
24h vol $0 · Ends Sep 29, 2028
Oregon Senate winner? (2028)
Democratic party: 88%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 7, 2029
Oklahoma Senate winner? (2028)
Republican party: 94%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 7, 2029
New York Senate winner? (2028)
Democratic party: 97%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 7, 2029
Nevada Senate winner? (2028)
Democratic party: 58%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 7, 2029
North Carolina Senate winner? (2028)
Democratic party: 64%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 7, 2029
Missouri Senate winner? (2028)
Republican party: 91%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 7, 2029
Maryland Senate winner? (2028)
Democratic party: 96%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 7, 2029