When will nuclear fusion be achieved?
Markets
Before 2030
- Yes28%
- No73%
Volume $31.3K · Liquidity $10.7K
Before 2040
- Yes52%
- No48%
Volume $11.7K · Liquidity $2.6K
Before 2035
- Yes51%
- No49%
Volume $7K · Liquidity $3.3K
Resolution rules
If nuclear fusion is achieved before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.
How to read these odds
Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.
More Tech & Science markets
When will the Riemann Hypothesis be resolved?
Before 2040: 76%
24h vol $25.5 · Ends Jan 7, 2040
When will P vs NP be resolved?
Before 2030: 57%
24h vol $1 · Ends Jan 7, 2040
When will all Millennium Prize Problems be solved?
Before 2040: 38%
24h vol $0 · Ends Jan 7, 2040
Will a humanoid robot walk on Mars before a human does?
Yes: 54%
24h vol $0 · Ends Jan 1, 2035
Will the FDA approve VERVE-102?
Before 2035: 87%
24h vol $0 · Ends Jan 1, 2035
Which Millennium Prize Problem will be solved next?
Hodge Conjecture: 50%
24h vol $0 · Ends Jan 1, 2045
When will the Hodge Conjecture be resolved?
Before 2030: 74%
24h vol $35.8 · Ends Jan 7, 2032
When will Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer be resolved?
Before 2032: 75%
24h vol $1 · Ends Jan 7, 2032
When will Yang–Mills and the Mass Gap be resolved?
Before 2032: 49%
24h vol $0 · Ends Jan 7, 2032
Will the FDA approve MDMA for PTSD?
Before Jan 1, 2032: 51%
24h vol $15 · Ends Jan 1, 2032
Which country will be the next to send humans to the Moon?
United States: 57%
24h vol $146.7 · Ends Jan 1, 2031
Will SpaceX land anything successfully on Mars before 2030?
No: 80%
24h vol $33.1 · Ends Jan 1, 2030