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When will all Millennium Prize Problems be solved?

Markets

  • Before 2028

    • Yes11%
    • No89%

    Volume $200 · Liquidity $200

  • Before 2040

    • Yes38%
    • No62%

    Volume $90.4 · Liquidity $0.4

  • Before 2029

    • Yes23%
    • No77%

    Volume $64.3 · Liquidity $0.3

  • Before 2035

    • Yes35%
    • No65%

    Volume $36.3 · Liquidity $0.3

  • Before 2030

    • Yes20%
    • No80%

    Volume $36.3 · Liquidity $2.3

Resolution rules

If all remaining Millennium Prize Problems are independently resolved before Jan 1, 2028 under the Payout Criterion and each resolution remains qualifying through expiration, then the market resolves to Yes.

How to read these odds

Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.

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