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Highest score on Humanity's Last Exam before Dec 31, 2026?

Markets

  • At least 60%

    • Yes45%
    • No55%

    Volume $15.2K · Liquidity $4.9K

  • At least 55%

    • Yes99%
    • No1%

    Volume $11.7K · Liquidity $6.6K

  • At least 65%

    • Yes17%
    • No83%

    Volume $10.1K · Liquidity $4.2K

  • At least 70%

    • Yes16%
    • No84%

    Volume $7.3K · Liquidity $3.4K

  • At least 50%

    • Yes99%
    • No1%

    Volume $3.1K · Liquidity $2.7K

  • At least 80%

    • Yes12%
    • No88%

    Volume $2.1K · Liquidity $1.4K

  • At least 75%

    • Yes17%
    • No83%

    Volume $1.9K · Liquidity $1.4K

  • At least 90%

    • Yes9%
    • No91%

    Volume $1.3K · Liquidity $1.3K

  • At least 85%

    • Yes12%
    • No88%

    Volume $865.2 · Liquidity $655.2

Resolution rules

If any language model achieves an accuracy of at least 50% on Humanity's Last Exam before Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

How to read these odds

Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.

Probability calculators · Glossary · Free courses

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