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Will there be an at least 8.0 magnitude earthquake in California before 2035?

Markets

  • Will there be an at least 8.0 magnitude earthquake in California before 2035?

    • Yes27%
    • No73%

    Volume $28.9K · Liquidity $14.6K

Resolution rules

If there is at least an earthquake of 8.0 magnitude with an epicenter in California or its territorial waters before Dec 31, 2035, then the market resolves to Yes.

How to read these odds

Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.

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