8.0 magnitude earthquake in Japan before 2030?
Markets
Will there be an at least 8.0 magnitude earthquake in Japan before 2030?
- Yes29%
- No71%
Volume $45.8K · Liquidity $13.2K
Resolution rules
If there is at least an earthquake of 8.0 magnitude with an epicenter in Japan or its territorial waters before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.
How to read these odds
Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.
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