What will the peak RONI value be for the NDJ 2026-27 quarter?
Markets
At least 2.0°C
- Yes87%
- No13%
Volume $3.6K · Liquidity $2.8K
1.5°C to 1.9°C
- Yes13%
- No87%
Volume $1.4K · Liquidity $644.6
1.0°C to 1.4°C
- Yes3%
- No97%
Volume $798.3 · Liquidity $578
Below 0.5°C
- Yes1%
- No99%
Volume $191 · Liquidity $188
0.5°C to 0.9°C
- Yes2%
- No98%
Volume $52 · Liquidity $50
Resolution rules
If the peak RONI value during the NDJ 2026-27 season is below 0.5°C, then the market resolves to Yes.
How to read these odds
Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.
More World markets
What will the peak RONI value for El Niño be during the NDJ 2026-27 season?
At least 2.5°C: 82%
24h vol $0 · Ends Apr 5, 2027
What will the peak RONI value be during the 2026-27 El Niño season?
2.5°C to 2.9°C: 44%
24h vol $3K · Ends Aug 15, 2027
How much will it rain in Napa in November 2026 through March 2027?
Above 15 inches: 96%
24h vol $0 · Ends Apr 1, 2027
Will it rain in Ontario, California on Feb 27, 2027?
No: 66%
24h vol $17.4K · Ends Feb 28, 2027
When will Sierra-at-Tahoe open for the 26/27 winter season?
Before Jan 10, 2027: 91%
24h vol $3.6K · Ends Jan 16, 2027
Major volcano eruption in 2026?
At least 1: 60%
24h vol $0 · Ends Jun 29, 2027
When will Mt. Bachelor open for the 26/27 winter season?
Before Dec 27, 2026: 95%
24h vol $3.5K · Ends Jan 9, 2027
Lake Mead end-of-month water elevation in Dec 2026?
Above 1034 Ft: 68%
24h vol $100 · Ends Jan 7, 2027
Snow in Seattle in Dec 2026?
Above 2 inches: 14%
24h vol $86.6 · Ends Jan 1, 2027
Will the temperature in San Jose (SJC Airport) drop below 40°F in December 2026?
Yes: 78%
24h vol $1.6 · Ends Jan 1, 2027
How much will it rain in Napa in December 2026?
Above 2 inches: 51%
24h vol $0 · Ends Jan 1, 2027
Total snowfall in Big Sky in December 2026?
Above 10 inches: 99%
24h vol $276.1 · Ends Jan 1, 2027

