What will the peak RONI value be during the 2026-27 El Niño season?
Markets
At least 3.0°C
- Yes40%
- No60%
Volume $51.3K · Liquidity $14.6K
2.5°C to 2.9°C
- Yes44%
- No56%
Volume $41.6K · Liquidity $6.8K
2.0°C to 2.4°C
- Yes6%
- No94%
Volume $28.6K · Liquidity $9.4K
1.5°C to 1.9°C
- Yes2%
- No98%
Volume $6.2K · Liquidity $3.1K
Below 1.5°C
- Yes2%
- No98%
Volume $3.5K · Liquidity $2.7K
Resolution rules
If the peak RONI value during the 2026-27 El Niño season is below 1.5°C, then the market resolves to Yes.
How to read these odds
Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.
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