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What will the peak RONI value for El Niño be during the NDJ 2026-27 season?

Markets

  • At least 2.5°C

    • Yes82%
    • No18%

    Volume $5.5K · Liquidity $3.2K

  • 2.0°C to 2.4°C

    • Yes12%
    • No88%

    Volume $1.6K · Liquidity $490.3

  • 1.5°C to 1.9°C

    • Yes7%
    • No93%

    Volume $737 · Liquidity $671

  • 0.5°C to 0.9°C

    • Yes5%
    • No95%

    Volume $487.1 · Liquidity $323

  • 1.0°C to 1.4°C

    • Yes9%
    • No91%

    Volume $465.7 · Liquidity $390

  • Below 0.5°C

    • Yes1%
    • No99%

    Volume $127 · Liquidity $126

Resolution rules

If the peak RONI value during the NDJ 2026-27 season is below 0.5°C, then the market resolves to Yes.

How to read these odds

Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.

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