Major volcano eruption in 2026?
Markets
At least 3
- Yes6%
- No94%
Volume $12.2K · Liquidity $3K
At least 2
- Yes23%
- No77%
Volume $4.1K · Liquidity $2K
At least 1
- Yes60%
- No40%
Volume $3.8K · Liquidity $538.3
Resolution rules
If the number of VEI4 volcanic eruptions worldwide with a GVP-attributed start in 2026 is at least 1, then the market resolves to Yes.
How to read these odds
Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.
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