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What will Satya Nadella say during Microsoft Ignite keynote?

Markets

  • Azure

    • Yes90%
    • No10%

    Volume $325.2 · Liquidity $313.1

  • Foundry

    • Yes76%
    • No24%

    Volume $224.1 · Liquidity $201.1

  • Cybersecurity

    • Yes48%
    • No52%

    Volume $110.8 · Liquidity $97

  • Autopilot

    • Yes53%
    • No47%

    Volume $92 · Liquidity $92

  • Event does not qualify

    • Yes5%
    • No95%

    Volume $87.4 · Liquidity $78

  • Sovereign Cloud

    • Yes36%
    • No64%

    Volume $86.4 · Liquidity $82

  • Scout

    • Yes16%
    • No84%

    Volume $33 · Liquidity $33

  • Copilot

    • Yes82%
    • No18%

    Volume $31.1 · Liquidity $15.6

  • Cowork

    • Yes49%
    • No51%

    Volume $19.3 · Liquidity $5.3

  • OpenAI

    • Yes45%
    • No55%

    Volume $18.7 · Liquidity $18.7

  • GitHub

    • Yes72%
    • No28%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Agent 365

    • Yes71%
    • No29%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Frontier

    • Yes77%
    • No24%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Anthropic / Claude

    • Yes36%
    • No64%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • NVIDIA

    • Yes36%
    • No64%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Mistral

    • Yes22%
    • No78%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

Resolution rules

If a qualifying event does not occur , then the market resolves to Yes.

How to read these odds

Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.

Probability calculators · Glossary · Free courses