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What will Vlad Tenev say during NYT DealBook Summit?

Markets

  • Agent / Agentic

    • Yes51%
    • No49%

    Volume $885 · Liquidity $502

  • Tokenized / Tokenization

    • Yes75%
    • No25%

    Volume $345.3 · Liquidity $330.3

  • Crypto / Cryptocurrency

    • Yes66%
    • No34%

    Volume $169.9 · Liquidity $165.4

  • Perp / Perpetual

    • Yes55%
    • No45%

    Volume $49 · Liquidity $37

  • Social

    • Yes55%
    • No45%

    Volume $45 · Liquidity $45

  • Bitcoin

    • Yes34%
    • No66%

    Volume $42 · Liquidity $42

  • Bank / Banking

    • Yes47%
    • No53%

    Volume $35 · Liquidity $35

  • Option

    • Yes42%
    • No58%

    Volume $23 · Liquidity $23

  • Retire / Retirement

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $20 · Liquidity $15

  • Prediction Market

    • Yes71%
    • No29%

    Volume $17 · Liquidity $17

  • Credit Card

    • Yes31%
    • No69%

    Volume $14 · Liquidity $14

  • Active Trader / Active Trading

    • Yes63%
    • No37%

    Volume $12 · Liquidity $12

  • Event does not qualify

    • Yes2%
    • No98%

    Volume $5 · Liquidity $5

  • AI / Artificial Intelligence

    • Yes78%
    • No22%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Gold (3+ times)

    • Yes11%
    • No89%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Sport

    • Yes57%
    • No43%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Kalshi

    • Yes12%
    • No89%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

Resolution rules

If Vlad Tenev says Prediction Market as part of 2026 New York Times DealBook Summit originally scheduled for November 18, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.

How to read these odds

Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.

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