What will Vlad Tenev say during NYT DealBook Summit?
Markets
Agent / Agentic
- Yes51%
- No49%
Volume $885 · Liquidity $502
Tokenized / Tokenization
- Yes75%
- No25%
Volume $345.3 · Liquidity $330.3
Crypto / Cryptocurrency
- Yes66%
- No34%
Volume $169.9 · Liquidity $165.4
Perp / Perpetual
- Yes55%
- No45%
Volume $49 · Liquidity $37
Social
- Yes55%
- No45%
Volume $45 · Liquidity $45
Bitcoin
- Yes34%
- No66%
Volume $42 · Liquidity $42
Bank / Banking
- Yes47%
- No53%
Volume $35 · Liquidity $35
Option
- Yes42%
- No58%
Volume $23 · Liquidity $23
Retire / Retirement
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $20 · Liquidity $15
Prediction Market
- Yes71%
- No29%
Volume $17 · Liquidity $17
Credit Card
- Yes31%
- No69%
Volume $14 · Liquidity $14
Active Trader / Active Trading
- Yes63%
- No37%
Volume $12 · Liquidity $12
Event does not qualify
- Yes2%
- No98%
Volume $5 · Liquidity $5
AI / Artificial Intelligence
- Yes78%
- No22%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Gold (3+ times)
- Yes11%
- No89%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Sport
- Yes57%
- No43%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Kalshi
- Yes12%
- No89%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Resolution rules
If Vlad Tenev says Prediction Market as part of 2026 New York Times DealBook Summit originally scheduled for November 18, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
How to read these odds
Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.
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