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What will JD Vance say during NYT DealBook Summit?

Markets

  • Iran / Iranian

    • Yes63%
    • No37%

    Volume $77 · Liquidity $72

  • Nuclear

    • Yes40%
    • No60%

    Volume $77 · Liquidity $72

  • Fraud

    • Yes65%
    • No35%

    Volume $67 · Liquidity $67

  • Data Center

    • Yes18%
    • No82%

    Volume $55 · Liquidity $55

  • America First

    • Yes42%
    • No58%

    Volume $37.8 · Liquidity $37.8

  • Afford / Affordable / Affordability

    • Yes58%
    • No42%

    Volume $21.5 · Liquidity $11

  • Working Class / Middle Class

    • Yes62%
    • No38%

    Volume $20.8 · Liquidity $18.8

  • Economy / Economic

    • Yes75%
    • No25%

    Volume $13.4 · Liquidity $13.4

  • Tariff

    • Yes35%
    • No65%

    Volume $9.5 · Liquidity $9.5

  • China / Chinese

    • Yes42%
    • No58%

    Volume $9.5 · Liquidity $7.2

  • Oil / Gas / Gasoline

    • Yes66%
    • No34%

    Volume $8.7 · Liquidity $8.7

  • Event does not qualify

    • Yes2%
    • No98%

    Volume $5 · Liquidity $5

  • Democrat

    • Yes57%
    • No43%

    Volume $2.9 · Liquidity $1.5

  • AI / Artificial Intelligence

    • Yes71%
    • No29%

    Volume $2.8 · Liquidity $2.8

  • Biden

    • Yes25%
    • No75%

    Volume $2.7 · Liquidity $2.7

  • Manufacture / Manufacturing

    • Yes25%
    • No75%

    Volume $1.3 · Liquidity $1.3

  • Inflation

    • Yes28%
    • No72%

    Volume $1 · Liquidity $1

  • Trump (3+ times)

    • Yes14%
    • No86%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • 2028 / Campaign

    • Yes14%
    • No86%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Healthcare

    • Yes20%
    • No81%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

Resolution rules

If JD Vance says Trump (3+ times) as part of 2026 New York Times DealBook Summit originally scheduled for November 18, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.

How to read these odds

Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.

Probability calculators · Glossary · Free courses

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