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What will David Ellison say during NYT DealBook Summit?

Markets

  • CBS

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $176 · Liquidity $176

  • Stream / Streaming

    • Yes70%
    • No30%

    Volume $119 · Liquidity $119

  • Synergy

    • Yes30%
    • No70%

    Volume $100 · Liquidity $100

  • Event does not qualify

    • Yes2%
    • No98%

    Volume $5 · Liquidity $5

  • Hollywood

    • Yes31%
    • No70%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Warner Bros / Warner Brothers

    • Yes66%
    • No35%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • CNN

    • Yes31%
    • No70%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • HBO

    • Yes31%
    • No70%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Debt

    • Yes31%
    • No70%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • AI / Artificial Intelligence

    • Yes71%
    • No30%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Netflix

    • Yes31%
    • No70%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Theater / Theatrical

    • Yes21%
    • No80%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Antitrust

    • Yes21%
    • No80%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Layoff / Lay Off

    • Yes21%
    • No80%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Larry Ellison

    • Yes10%
    • No90%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Bari / Weiss

    • Yes26%
    • No75%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Trump

    • Yes31%
    • No70%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Harry Potter

    • Yes18%
    • No82%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

Resolution rules

If David Ellison says Hollywood as part of 2026 New York Times DealBook Summit originally scheduled for November 18, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.

How to read these odds

Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.

Probability calculators · Glossary · Free courses

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