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US student loan debt at end of 2026

Markets

  • Above $1.84 trillion

    • Yes94%
    • No6%

    Volume $2.1K · Liquidity $20

  • Above $1.92 trillion

    • Yes20%
    • No80%

    Volume $689.9 · Liquidity $604

  • Above $1.90 trillion

    • Yes40%
    • No60%

    Volume $134.8 · Liquidity $103.3

  • Above $1.88 trillion

    • Yes67%
    • No33%

    Volume $105 · Liquidity $100.9

  • Above $1.94 trillion

    • Yes17%
    • No83%

    Volume $5 · Liquidity $5

  • Above $1.86 trillion

    • Yes51%
    • No49%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Above $1.96 trillion

    • Yes9%
    • No92%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Above $1.98 trillion

    • Yes5%
    • No95%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Above $1.82 trillion

    • Yes97%
    • No4%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

Resolution rules

If the total U.S. student loans outstanding for 2026 Q4 is above $1.82 trillion, according to the Federal Reserve’s G.19 Consumer Credit release, then the market resolves to Yes.

How to read these odds

Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.

Probability calculators · Glossary · Free courses

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