Will Trump cut the China trade gap below $150B in 2026?
Markets
Will the U.S. goods trade deficit with China before January 1, 2027 be below $150B?
- Yes54%
- No46%
Volume $1.3K · Liquidity $1.3K
Resolution rules
If the U.S. goods trade deficit with China for calendar year 2026 is below $150 billion, then the market resolves to Yes.
How to read these odds
Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.
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