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Average US used car transaction price at end of 2026

Markets

  • Above $26,000

    • Yes91%
    • No9%

    Volume $400 · Liquidity $0

  • Above $27,000

    • Yes63%
    • No37%

    Volume $206 · Liquidity $205

  • Above $25,000

    • Yes92%
    • No8%

    Volume $3.2 · Liquidity $1.6

  • Above $24,000

    • Yes96%
    • No4%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Above $28,000

    • Yes8%
    • No92%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Above $29,000

    • Yes5%
    • No96%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Above $30,000

    • Yes4%
    • No97%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

Resolution rules

If the Used Avg. Transaction Prices (ATPs) for December 2026, as reported by Edmunds, is above $24,000, then the market resolves to Yes.

How to read these odds

Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.

Probability calculators · Glossary · Free courses

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