Brazil presidential runoff: who will win São Paulo?
Markets
Flávio Bolsonaro
- Yes95%
- No5%
Volume $9.7K · Liquidity $9.1K
Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva
- Yes6%
- No94%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Resolution rules
If Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finishes in 1st place in the state of São Paulo in the 2026 Brazilian presidential runoff according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes.
How to read these odds
Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.
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