Will Trump invoke the Insurrection Act?
Markets
Before Jan 1, 2027
- Yes17%
- No83%
Volume $384.3K · Liquidity $141.9K
Before Jan 20, 2029
- Yes44%
- No56%
Volume $227.6K · Liquidity $48.2K
Before Jan 1, 2028
- Yes49%
- No51%
Volume $173.7 · Liquidity $93.9
Before Dec 1, 2026
- Yes11%
- No89%
Volume $34.2 · Liquidity $34.2
Resolution rules
If the President of the United States has invoked the Insurrection Act to deploy the United States military and/or the federalized National Guard within the United States before Dec 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
How to read these odds
Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.
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