Skip to content

How many Senate seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms?

Markets

  • Above 52

    • Yes40%
    • No60%

    Volume $1.6M · Liquidity $1M

  • 52

    • Yes23%
    • No77%

    Volume $1.1M · Liquidity $901.8K

  • Below 45

    • Yes2%
    • No98%

    Volume $672.6K · Liquidity $467.7K

  • 47

    • Yes3%
    • No97%

    Volume $443.2K · Liquidity $348.6K

  • 51

    • Yes11%
    • No89%

    Volume $421K · Liquidity $345.5K

  • 50

    • Yes14%
    • No86%

    Volume $417.6K · Liquidity $294.7K

  • 46

    • Yes2%
    • No98%

    Volume $411.5K · Liquidity $317.8K

  • 45

    • Yes1%
    • No99%

    Volume $382.4K · Liquidity $315.6K

  • 49

    • Yes6%
    • No94%

    Volume $382.3K · Liquidity $302.5K

  • 48

    • Yes5%
    • No95%

    Volume $339K · Liquidity $274.7K

Resolution rules

If the Democratic Party has below 45 Senate seats on Feb 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

How to read these odds

Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.

Probability calculators · Glossary · Free courses