2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
Markets
Republicans sweep
- Yes9%
- No91%
Volume $22M · Liquidity $18.1M
R-House, D-Senate
- Yes1%
- No99%
Volume $15.6M · Liquidity $12.4M
Democrats sweep
- Yes67%
- No33%
Volume $6.8M · Liquidity $4.4M
D-House, R-Senate
- Yes25%
- No75%
Volume $5.2M · Liquidity $3M
Resolution rules
If ALL of the following occur: House Control: Democratic, Senate Control: Democratic, then the market resolves to Yes.
How to read these odds
Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.
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How many House seats will Republicans hold after the Midterms?
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How many Senate seats will Republicans hold after the Midterms?
48: 20%
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234-237: 17%
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How many Senate seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms? (Higher strikes)
Below 53: 61%
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No: 77%
24h vol $27.8K · Ends Feb 1, 2027
Red wave in 2026?
No: 94%
24h vol $12.9K · Ends Feb 1, 2027
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At least 1: 32%
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Midterms: Blue trickle?
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24h vol $302 · Ends Feb 1, 2027
How many House seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms? (Directional)
Above 211: 95%
24h vol $285.5 · Ends Feb 1, 2027