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How many Senate seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms? (Higher strikes)

Markets

  • Below 53

    • Yes61%
    • No39%

    Volume $141K · Liquidity $60.7K

  • 55

    • Yes8%
    • No92%

    Volume $101.4K · Liquidity $97.1K

  • 56

    • Yes4%
    • No96%

    Volume $93.2K · Liquidity $82K

  • 53

    • Yes14%
    • No86%

    Volume $79.9K · Liquidity $58.8K

  • Above 57

    • Yes2%
    • No98%

    Volume $69K · Liquidity $66K

  • 57

    • Yes2%
    • No98%

    Volume $68.7K · Liquidity $65.7K

  • 54

    • Yes12%
    • No88%

    Volume $66.8K · Liquidity $63.7K

Resolution rules

If the Democratic party has below 53 Senate seats on Feb 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

How to read these odds

Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.

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