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How many Senate seats will Republicans hold after the Midterms?

Markets

  • Above 57

    • Yes2%
    • No98%

    Volume $412.6K · Liquidity $366.8K

  • 48

    • Yes20%
    • No80%

    Volume $341.1K · Liquidity $283.4K

  • Below 45

    • Yes10%
    • No90%

    Volume $274.7K · Liquidity $222.1K

  • 55

    • Yes2%
    • No98%

    Volume $250.7K · Liquidity $228.6K

  • 53

    • Yes4%
    • No96%

    Volume $243.7K · Liquidity $237K

  • 45

    • Yes9%
    • No91%

    Volume $242.8K · Liquidity $159.2K

  • 54

    • Yes2%
    • No98%

    Volume $235.6K · Liquidity $223K

  • 52

    • Yes5%
    • No95%

    Volume $232.7K · Liquidity $202.9K

  • 56

    • Yes1%
    • No99%

    Volume $224.5K · Liquidity $216.1K

  • 51

    • Yes7%
    • No93%

    Volume $207.4K · Liquidity $164.4K

  • 57

    • Yes1%
    • No99%

    Volume $206K · Liquidity $197.1K

  • 47

    • Yes12%
    • No88%

    Volume $177.8K · Liquidity $138.4K

  • 50

    • Yes12%
    • No88%

    Volume $173.2K · Liquidity $128.2K

  • 46

    • Yes11%
    • No89%

    Volume $162.2K · Liquidity $144.8K

  • 49

    • Yes11%
    • No89%

    Volume $128.9K · Liquidity $84.9K

Resolution rules

If the Republican party has below 45 Senate seats on Feb 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

How to read these odds

Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.

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