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How many House seats will Republicans hold after the Midterms?

Markets

  • Below 193

    • Yes36%
    • No64%

    Volume $847.1K · Liquidity $495.2K

  • 218-222

    • Yes5%
    • No95%

    Volume $623K · Liquidity $434.9K

  • 223-227

    • Yes2%
    • No98%

    Volume $579.6K · Liquidity $437.8K

  • 228-232

    • Yes1%
    • No99%

    Volume $492.5K · Liquidity $327.1K

  • Above 237

    • Yes2%
    • No98%

    Volume $490.9K · Liquidity $436.3K

  • 233-237

    • Yes1%
    • No99%

    Volume $420.9K · Liquidity $342.7K

  • 193-197

    • Yes14%
    • No86%

    Volume $328.3K · Liquidity $220.1K

  • 213-217

    • Yes6%
    • No94%

    Volume $316.8K · Liquidity $229K

  • 198-202

    • Yes18%
    • No82%

    Volume $273.4K · Liquidity $195.7K

  • 203-207

    • Yes15%
    • No85%

    Volume $262.8K · Liquidity $220.2K

  • 208-212

    • Yes8%
    • No92%

    Volume $249.5K · Liquidity $204.2K

Resolution rules

If the Republican Party has below 193 House seats on Feb 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

How to read these odds

Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.

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