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How many Elon-backed challengers will win seats in Congress in 2026?

Markets

  • At least 5

    • Yes5%
    • No95%

    Volume $10.2K · Liquidity $2.9K

  • At least 15

    • Yes8%
    • No92%

    Volume $6.3K · Liquidity $619

  • At least 10

    • Yes4%
    • No96%

    Volume $2.6K · Liquidity $1.5K

  • At least 1

    • Yes32%
    • No68%

    Volume $2.4K · Liquidity $823.8

  • At least 75

    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $1.1K · Liquidity $1.1K

  • At least 100

    • Yes1%
    • No99%

    Volume $1.1K · Liquidity $420.7

  • At least 3

    • Yes12%
    • No88%

    Volume $384.1 · Liquidity $368.2

  • At least 25

    • Yes6%
    • No94%

    Volume $306.9 · Liquidity $251.2

  • At least 20

    • Yes7%
    • No94%

    Volume $238 · Liquidity $230

  • At least 50

    • Yes6%
    • No94%

    Volume $57 · Liquidity $48

Resolution rules

If Elon Musk supports at least 1 non-incumbents who win Congressional seats in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

How to read these odds

Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.

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