Government shutdown on Dec 12, 2026?
Markets
Will the US government be shut down on Dec 12, 2026?
- Yes31%
- No69%
Volume $22.9K · Liquidity $17.8K
Resolution rules
If the United States federal government is at least partially shut down due to a lapse of appropriations at 10:00 AM ET on Dec 12, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
How to read these odds
Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.
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