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Kash Patel out as FBI Director?

Markets

  • Before Dec 1, 2026

    • Yes6%
    • No94%

    Volume $101K · Liquidity $40.9K

  • Before Nov 1, 2026

    • Yes1%
    • No99%

    Volume $86.3K · Liquidity $45.7K

  • Before Oct 1, 2026

    Closed
    • Yes2%
    • No98%

    Volume $38.3K · Liquidity $23.2K

  • Before Sep 1, 2026

    Closed
    • Yes1%
    • No99%

    Volume $30.7K · Liquidity $20.4K

  • Before Oct 1, 2027

    • Yes57%
    • No43%

    Volume $2.3K · Liquidity $1.6K

  • Before Apr 1, 2027

    • Yes37%
    • No63%

    Volume $2.1K · Liquidity $1.9K

  • Before Jul 1, 2027

    • Yes53%
    • No47%

    Volume $2.1K · Liquidity $1.7K

  • Before Jan 1, 2029

    • Yes83%
    • No17%

    Volume $1.3K · Liquidity $1.1K

  • Before Jan 1, 2028

    • Yes65%
    • No35%

    Volume $641 · Liquidity $395.1

  • Before Jul 1, 2028

    • Yes72%
    • No28%

    Volume $98.4 · Liquidity $74.1

  • Before Feb 1, 2027

    • Yes19%
    • No81%

    Volume $24.1 · Liquidity $21.8

Resolution rules

If Kash Patel leaves as FBI Director before Sep 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

How to read these odds

Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.

Probability calculators · Glossary · Free courses

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