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Los Angeles mayoral election margin of victory? (Nithya Raman)

Markets

  • Nithya Raman, ≥2%

    • Yes44%
    • No56%

    Volume $4.8K · Liquidity $3.4K

  • Nithya Raman, ≥10%

    • Yes20%
    • No80%

    Volume $2.9K · Liquidity $1.8K

  • Nithya Raman, ≥4%

    • Yes39%
    • No61%

    Volume $2.5K · Liquidity $1.6K

  • Nithya Raman, ≥6%

    • Yes36%
    • No64%

    Volume $1.7K · Liquidity $1.1K

  • Nithya Raman, ≥8%

    • Yes44%
    • No56%

    Volume $1.6K · Liquidity $1.2K

  • Nithya Raman, ≥12%

    • Yes15%
    • No85%

    Volume $206.2 · Liquidity $206.2

  • Nithya Raman, ≥14%

    • Yes10%
    • No90%

    Volume $5 · Liquidity $5

  • Nithya Raman, ≥16%

    • Yes5%
    • No95%

    Volume $5 · Liquidity $5

Resolution rules

If the margin of victory for Nithya Raman in the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election falls within 2% to 100%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.

How to read these odds

Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.

Probability calculators · Glossary · Free courses

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