Skip to content

Arkansas's 2nd District margin of victory

Markets

  • Jones, 6+ pts

    • Yes5%
    • No95%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Jones, 1+ pts

    • Yes13%
    • No87%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Jones, 3+ pts

    • Yes8%
    • No92%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

Resolution rules

If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Arkansas's 2nd District by 1 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.

How to read these odds

Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.

Probability calculators · Glossary · Free courses