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Arizona's 6th District margin of victory

Markets

  • Mendoza, 10+ pts

    • Yes30%
    • No70%

    Volume $2.5K · Liquidity $432

  • Mendoza, 4+ pts

    • Yes69%
    • No31%

    Volume $2.1K · Liquidity $606.1

  • Mendoza, 7+ pts

    • Yes49%
    • No51%

    Volume $1.9K · Liquidity $837.7

  • Mendoza, 1+ pts

    • Yes79%
    • No21%

    Volume $1.8K · Liquidity $306

  • Mendoza, 13+ pts

    • Yes20%
    • No80%

    Volume $343 · Liquidity $222

  • Mendoza, 16+ pts

    • Yes8%
    • No93%

    Volume $203 · Liquidity $39

Resolution rules

If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Arizona's 6th District by 1 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.

How to read these odds

Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.

Probability calculators · Glossary · Free courses

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