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Arizona's 8th District margin of victory

Markets

  • Hamadeh, 3+ pts

    • Yes83%
    • No17%

    Volume $3.2K · Liquidity $1.5K

  • Hamadeh, 24+ pts

    • Yes21%
    • No79%

    Volume $1.9K · Liquidity $473

  • Hamadeh, 18+ pts

    • Yes14%
    • No86%

    Volume $1.5K · Liquidity $727.7

  • Hamadeh, 6+ pts

    • Yes58%
    • No42%

    Volume $1.5K · Liquidity $692.4

  • Hamadeh, 15+ pts

    • Yes24%
    • No76%

    Volume $1.3K · Liquidity $508

  • Hamadeh, 9+ pts

    • Yes49%
    • No51%

    Volume $419.8 · Liquidity $217.8

  • Hamadeh, 21+ pts

    • Yes7%
    • No93%

    Volume $137 · Liquidity $40

  • Hamadeh, 12+ pts

    • Yes48%
    • No52%

    Volume $20 · Liquidity $10

Resolution rules

If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Arizona's 8th District by 3 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.

How to read these odds

Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.

Probability calculators · Glossary · Free courses

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