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Iowa Governor margin of victory

Markets

  • Sand, 9+ pts

    • Yes21%
    • No79%

    Volume $30.8K · Liquidity $28K

  • Sand, 6+ pts

    • Yes41%
    • No59%

    Volume $21.5K · Liquidity $13K

  • Sand, 3+ pts

    • Yes67%
    • No33%

    Volume $14.8K · Liquidity $10.8K

  • Sand, 12+ pts

    • Yes12%
    • No88%

    Volume $6.7K · Liquidity $6.1K

  • Sand, 15+ pts

    • Yes4%
    • No96%

    Volume $3.5K · Liquidity $3.5K

  • Sand, 1+ pts

    • Yes85%
    • No15%

    Volume $0.3 · Liquidity $0.3

  • Sand, 4+ pts

    • Yes64%
    • No36%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Sand, 7+ pts

    • Yes39%
    • No61%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

Resolution rules

If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 gubernatorial election in Iowa by 1 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.

How to read these odds

Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.

Probability calculators · Glossary · Free courses

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