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Illinois's 11th District margin of victory

Markets

  • Foster, 8+ pts

    • Yes91%
    • No9%

    Volume $1.4K · Liquidity $367

  • Foster, 35+ pts

    • Yes13%
    • No87%

    Volume $436 · Liquidity $436

  • Foster, 26+ pts

    • Yes52%
    • No48%

    Volume $252 · Liquidity $250

  • Foster, 17+ pts

    • Yes66%
    • No34%

    Volume $250 · Liquidity $250

  • Foster, 32+ pts

    • Yes26%
    • No74%

    Volume $175 · Liquidity $120

  • Foster, 14+ pts

    • Yes87%
    • No13%

    Volume $67 · Liquidity $67

  • Foster, 29+ pts

    • Yes24%
    • No76%

    Volume $55 · Liquidity $55

  • Foster, 11+ pts

    • Yes85%
    • No15%

    Volume $50 · Liquidity $50

  • Foster, 20+ pts

    • Yes55%
    • No45%

    Volume $50 · Liquidity $50

  • Foster, 23+ pts

    • Yes44%
    • No56%

    Volume $50 · Liquidity $50

  • Foster, 38+ pts

    • Yes11%
    • No89%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

Resolution rules

If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Illinois's 11th District by 8 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.

How to read these odds

Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.

Probability calculators · Glossary · Free courses

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